Much like Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, which outlines the order in which mankind’s needs are met, there is a hierarchy in a private equity capital structure that determines the order of distributions.
It’s important to understand that a commercial real estate property is, in essence, an operating company that is backed by a physical asset. It has revenues, customers (also known as tenants), expenses, net income and net cash flow (hopefully) that may be distributed to its owners. Two equations, Net Operating Income (NOI) and Net Cash Flow, illustrate this point:
The higher you go in the capital stack, the less likely it is for that layer to receive distributions, and the probability of receiving those distributions at the higher positions in the capital stack can vary dramatically. A capital stack has a priority of payment as follows:
It’s important to remember that every layer is dependent upon positive NOI. If an asset becomes distressed you can find scenarios where NOI becomes negative. But assuming that NOI is positive, as is usually the case, here is how each layer of the capital stack receives distributions:
Distributions at the common equity layer of the capital stack are made at the sole discretion of the sponsor and this is the only layer where this situation is the case. Even if there is adequate cash flow to pay distributions, there may be a good reason to reserve them and not pay them, such as funding unbudgeted tenant improvements to land a new big lease at a property. This makes distributions at the common equity level far more unreliable than any other layer in the capital stack. Given the non-obligatory nature and relative unreliability of common equity distributions, it’s not surprising that you tend to see tremendous variability in an operator’s ability and willingness to pay them. Certain operators may pay distributions almost as reliably as mezzanine debt, while others hardly pay them at all. Therefore, for any investor that views the prospect of distributions as an attractive part of a common equity investment, it’s important for that investor to both study that operator’s track record of actually paying distributions, as well as listen closely to the operator’s expectations, strategy and philosophy regarding paying distributions in the proposed investment. As can be expected, targeted returns vary the most at the common equity level and can range from as low as 8% to as high as over 30% per annum depending on the leverage and overall risk to the common equity holders.
When a sponsor’s pro forma shows net cash flow at the common equity level of the capital stack, it’s a common and understandable practice for investors to view the probability of receiving targeted distributions from a private equity real estate investment at one layer in the capital stack as relatively consistent with any other layer in the capital stack. When an asset performs exceptionally well this might be the case, but, under most circumstances, it is far from the case. As described above, the range of targeted annual returns from as low as 3.5% for senior debt to high as 30% for common equity factor in numerous assumptions, and the probability of receiving distributions is one of them.
At the extremes of the capital stack, it’s relatively easy to understand that a 3.5% senior debt return is far different than a 30% common equity return. But, what about a 13% targeted preferred equity return versus an 18% targeted common equity return? In this situation, paying close attention to the hierarchy of distributions can help lead an investor to the right investment decision. For the investor who prioritizes cash flow distributions over the possibility of a 20%+ annual return, then the preferred equity investment is superior. Conversely, for the investor who places less value on current cash flow and, instead, is seeking the opportunity to earn greater upside that may exceed 20% annually, then the common equity investment is the superior choice. And, like anything in life, you can’t have it all. This is why each layer of the capital stack has different strengths and weakness. The appropriate choice boils down to your objectives and investment criteria. Just don’t fool yourself into the notion that it’s possible to receive the certainty of cash flow of senior debt along with the targeted returns of common equity.